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🔴 Hot market
The May Red List
is coming
How many trees get newly assessed? Bet your hunch, fund their future.
Over 4,500 +180
3,500–4,500 -130
Under 3,500 +320
Acca Bonus
Stack 4 bets,
get +50% back
Like layering compost — the more you add, the richer it gets.
🌱
New
Fantasy Conservation — pick your plants
Draft 5 threatened species. Cheer them on all year. Points when they get downlisted, reintroduced, or find a new home in a garden. Season ends Dec 31.
Today's Events
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Highlights
Prop Bets
🔴
IUCN Updates
11
🗄️
PlantSearch
7
🔬
New Species
9
🫙
Seed Banking
5
🌱
Reintroductions
6
🏅
Accreditations
4
🌐
Network Growth
4
📊
Annual Reports
3
🌸
Garden Bets
10
🌸 Garden Happenings — Bet What You'll See
10 markets
🌷 Kew Gardens — Spring Watch · Results verified by garden staff
🌼
What colour will the first primroses to open in Kew's Rock Garden be?
Closes March 31 · Verified by Kew horticulturalists on opening day
Yellow 1.80
Purple/Lilac 2.60
Pink/Magenta 3.50
+2 more ›
🌳
Which tree in Kew's Arboretum will be first to show full leaf this spring?
Closes April 30 · Photo evidence accepted · Kew seasonal diary
Horse Chestnut 2.20
Elder 1.95
Wild Cherry 3.00
+3 more ›
🏛️
Which Kew glasshouse will have the longest queue on Easter Saturday?
April 19 2026 · Declared by 6pm · Based on visitor count data
Palm House 1.75
Temperate House 2.40
Princess of Wales 3.20
+1 more ›
🐝 Wildlife & Bloom Timing
🐝
First bee spotted in Kew's wildflower meadow — before or after April 1?
Declared on first confirmed sighting · Kew nature diary
Before April 1 2.30
April 1–15 1.70
After April 15 3.80
+1 more ›
💜
Will Kew's wisteria be in full bloom by the May bank holiday weekend (May 2–4)?
May 4 deadline · Full bloom = 80%+ coverage · Kew social media confirmation
Yes — purple perfection 2.10
No — not quite yet 1.75
+1 more ›
🌻 The Long Game — Summer Bets
🌻
Tallest sunflower grown in Kew's kitchen garden by September 1 — O/U 2.4m
Sept 1 2026 · Measured by garden staff · Kitchen garden programme
Over 2.4m 1.85
Under 2.4m 1.95
+2 more ›
🌧️
Will it rain on at least one day of Chelsea Flower Show 2026? (May 19–24)
May 19–24 · Any measurable rainfall at Chelsea · Met Office confirmed
Yes — this is England 1.25
No — dry all week 4.50
+2 more ›
🔴 IUCN Red List Updates
11 markets
🌳 May 2026 Update — Tree Assessments (results declared on publication)
📋
New tree assessments in the May 2026 IUCN Red List update — O/U 4,200.5
May 2026 · IUCN Red List publication · Source: iucnredlist.org
Over 4,200.5 1.85
Under 4,200.5 1.95
+4 more ›
⬆️
Tree species uplisted (Vulnerable → Endangered or worse) in May update — O/U 90.5
May 2026 · IUCN Red List · Based on ThreatSearch tracking
Over 90.5 2.10
Under 90.5 1.70
+3 more ›
🌍 Regional Breakdown — Which region leads new assessments?
🗺️
Most new tree assessments by region in May 2026 update
May 2026 · IUCN Red List · GlobalTreeSearch verification
Asia-Pacific 1.90
Latin America 2.40
Africa 3.20
+2 more ›
⚔️ Head-to-Head — Database Races
6 matchups
🗄️ PlantSearch Quarterly Contribution Race · Q2 2026 · Declared 30 Jun
🇬🇧
Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew
Leading PlantSearch contributor
VS End of Q2
🇺🇸
NY Botanical Garden
2nd largest contributor
Kew adds more taxa 1.65
Equal contribution 8.00
NYBG adds more taxa 2.50
🔬 New Species Discovery Race · H1 2026 · By continent · Declared 31 Jul
🌎
South America
Historically leads new descriptions
VS Half-year mark
🌏
Southeast Asia
High single-country endemic rate
S. America more new spp. 1.75
Tied (±5 species) 9.00
SE Asia more new spp. 2.20
🗄️ PlantSearch & Seed Banking — Milestone Markets
12 markets
📈 PlantSearch Database — Currently 1,578,741 accession records
LIVE
🗄️
PlantSearch reaches 1,600,000 accession records — Will it happen before end of 2026?
Tracking live · PlantSearch.bgci.org · 21,259 records to go
Yes, by Dec 31 1.70
No, carries to 2027 2.20
+3 more ›
📊
New accessions added to PlantSearch in Q2 2026 — O/U 11,500.5
Q2 2026 · PlantSearch quarterly report · April–June
Over 11,500.5 1.95
Under 11,500.5 1.85
+2 more ›
🫙 Seed Banking — Currently 57,000 taxa across 350+ gardens in 74 countries
🫙
Total seed-banked taxa across BGCI network surpasses 58,000 by end of 2026
Dec 31 2026 · BGCI Seed Conservation annual report
Yes — over 58,000 2.05
No — stays under 1.75
+2 more ›
❄️
New cryopreserved accessions added across BGCI network in H1 2026 — O/U 850.5
H1 2026 · Cryopreservation programme report · BGCI
Over 850.5 1.80
Under 850.5 2.00
+1 more ›
🎯 Prop Bets of the Day
6 props
Annual Report
Will the next State of the World's Plants report show more than 40% of species threatened?
📈 Yes, above 40% +160
📉 No, below 40% -190
Garden Network
How many new BGCI accreditations will be awarded in full-year 2026?
📈 Over 7.5 +140
📉 Under 7.5 -170
Next Accreditation
Which continent will receive the next new BGCI garden accreditation?
🌍 Africa +150
🌏 Asia-Pacific +120
🌎 Americas +280
Species Discovery
New plant species formally described globally in Q2 2026 — O/U 1,200.5
Over 1,200.5 -115
Under 1,200.5 -105
Reintroduction Watch
Will a currently Extinct-in-the-Wild species be successfully reintroduced to habitat in 2026?
✅ Yes — confirmed +220
❌ Not this year -260
ThreatSearch Milestone
ThreatSearch crosses 190,000 taxa assessed — before or after July 1?
📅 Before July 1 +180
📅 After July 1 -220
🌿 Fantasy Conservation League — Live Contests
Draft closes in 2h 14m

Featured Contests

See all contests →
🏆
2026 Fantasy Conservation Championship
Pick 5 species · root for them all year · top 20% share the prize · 142/200 entered
£500
Prize pool
🔴
Red List Sprint — May 2026
Predict the exact numbers before the update drops · closest 5 guesses takes the pot · 38/50 entered
£120
Prize pool
🆓
Free: Guess when PlantSearch hits 1.6 million
No entry fee · just donate what you like · closest date wins naming rights to a real tree
🌳
Name a tree
1
PlantSearch 1.6M · Dec 31 £10 → £17